A new survey by Mizani Africa shows a competitive presidential race emerging in Nyeri County ahead of the 2027 General Election, with Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua taking an early lead.
The poll, released on Friday, places Gachagua at 25.5 percent, followed by President William Ruto at 20.3 percent.
Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka ranks third with 15.3 percent, indicating growing appeal beyond his traditional bases.
According to Mizani Africa, Nyeri voters appear increasingly open to persuasion, with 19 percent of respondents remaining undecided.
The undecided bloc is sizable enough to tilt the county’s final outcome, especially once formal campaigns intensify.
Gachagua’s lead aligns with his strong ties to the region, where he has positioned himself as a key voice on local political and economic interests.
His prominence in recent Mt Kenya debates, including revenue-sharing and unity within the Kenya Kwanza coalition, may have contributed to his early advantage.
President Ruto’s second-place ranking reflects a more fragmented support base compared to the strong numbers he secured nationally in 2022.
The poll suggests shifting attitudes within the region, where several political formations—including UDA factions and emerging local movements—are influencing voter sentiment.
Mizani Africa notes that while Ruto retains substantial backing, competition within the ruling coalition may be reshaping local dynamics.
Kalonzo Musyoka’s showing marks a notable rise in a county historically dominated by Kikuyu-led political alignments.
His increasing visibility in national debates and efforts to broaden the Azimio coalition’s reach could be factors behind his improved rating in Nyeri.
The report shows that the outcome remains far from settled.
With nearly one in five voters undecided, campaign messaging, coalition-building, and regional alliances are expected to play a decisive role as 2027 approaches.