President William Ruto continues to lead the 2025 presidential race, according to the latest national survey by Mizani Africa.
The poll places him at 46.2% support, indicating a strong advantage over his competitors as political parties position themselves for the next election cycle.
Former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka emerges as the most prominent opposition contender with 18.5% backing.
His support reflects the influence of the united opposition orbit, though it remains significantly lower than the incumbent’s nationwide appeal.
Meanwhile, Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i registers 15.9%, signaling growing regional influence that could play a role in future opposition negotiations and coalition dynamics.
The survey also notes that 10% of respondents have yet to make a decision, highlighting the potential impact of campaign strategies and voter outreach in the coming months.
Kenya’s electoral history shows that coalition-building often determines outcomes, as seen in the 2013 and 2017 elections where alliances shaped both parliamentary and presidential results.
Mizani Africa’s data underscores this dynamic, suggesting that the next elections may hinge not only on individual popularity but also on regional mobilisation and the ability of candidates to convert undecided voters.
Fred Matiang’i’s performance, though behind Ruto and Kalonzo nationally, reflects strong regional support that positions him as a potential kingmaker in opposition talks.
This could influence how the opposition structures its alliances, especially in counties where regional loyalty plays a decisive role.